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Brooks's Blog: Houston weather is like the MLB playoffs

Just as the Astros enter the post-season, aiming to win the World Series in a total sweep on October 27th, summer is going for a trophy and doesn't want to quit!
Warm in the east and cool in the west, is the name of the game for the next two weeks. Houston will be on the warm side of the fence.

HOUSTON — First off, a huge congrats to the 'Stros, for making it to the playoffs. Unfortunately for those hoping for some fall weather to welcome the postseason, our pattern favors summer for at least the next two weeks. Does this means we'll be watching the World Series in shorts with the A/C blasting? Hopefully not -- and there is hope!

While long-range forecast models do point to this warm pattern only getting worse, we will see improvement by the middle of the month as this out-of-season warm spell breaks-down. It'll allow a cold front to sweep through Houston. Temps at that time could cool into the 50s and 60s at night, with 70s during the day. We're certainly due for it. The average first 50s in Houston are experienced at the end of September. The latest we've ever gone without 50s in late-October.

Houston's average first 50s occur in late September. This year of 2018, we're at least two weeks away from that!

A forecast beyond 5-7 days is notoriously difficult to make. (Just as the hurricane season forecasters who throw spaghetti at a wall each year, trying to tell you how many named systems we'll see!) While I can't specific on the exact date this colder air will arrive or how intense it may be -- or for how long it may last -- I can see an upper air pattern which would lead to nice fall days before Halloween.

So? The race is on! Can the 'Stros last longer than this summertime pattern? The good news for lovers of cooler weather is that I do believe they'll stay in the game longer than summer. This, "dog breath" grip upon our fair city region will soon be replaced with dry, north breezes. Let's win the pennant again ... and let it snow! (Okay, I'm getting ahead of myself.)

Sounds like the topic of discussion for my next YouTube vid!

-Meteorologist Brooks Garner

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