HOUSTON — Not much has changed with the thinking regarding the weekend forecast. Scattered heavy showers and storms can be expected both Saturday and Sunday afternoon.
Deep tropical moisture continues to work its way inland from the gulf. This combined with ample heating should allow for pockets of heavy rain to develop. What I find interesting is two high-resolution models (HRRR & RPM 4km) both show very isolated, light showers at best. If it were to be totally believed, I'd put rain chances at 30% today.This puzzles me a bit being that we've got such deep moisture overhead. Something I'll continue watching throughout the weekend. I'll continue to keep rain chances Saturday at 60% for now.
As we head into next week, things dry out and heat up. We could see temps back into the upper 90s as we head into Labor Day weekend with garden variety shower chances.
I am watching a cold front that may slip in here by next weekend but it doesn't look nearly as strong as it did a few days ago. I figured it was too good to be true.
We're now a week away from September and having grown up here, I've come to realize September is fools gold regarding cooler weather.
In fact, Houston's all-time hottest temperature of 109°F was set in September. So if you're looking for cooler weather, it's certainly possible by the end of the month but I wouldn't hold your breath.
There is a disturbance (Invest 98L) that is close to the eastern Florida peninsula. It has a very high (90%) chance for development over the next 5 days and will likely be the next Tropical Depression within the next few days. This one is no threat to us, but will bring locally heavy rain and storms for parts of the Bahamas and south and central Florida this weekend. The Hurricane Hunters are expected to fly this system Saturday afternoon.
Another area we are monitoring is currently a tropical wave (Invest 99L) located 1300 miles east-southeast of the Windward Islands. This system currently has an 80% chance for development over the next 5 days. We're tracking it, but it's nothing for you to worry about over the weekend.
Be sure to watch the weather at least once a day on KHOU11 News and stay weather aware with us as we enter the busy time of hurricane season.
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