National Weather Service: Houston could see unsually hot summer


Brooks Garner / KHOU 11 News

Posted on May 9, 2013 at 5:19 PM

Updated Thursday, May 9 at 5:40 PM

HOUSTON—KHOU 11 News Meteorologist Brooks Garner went to the National Weather Service office in League City to talk to the folks who track seasonal patterns, plus he got an inside preview on the upcoming hurricane season.

In Galveston County, gulf breezes blow toward Houston, spreading heat and humidity and it seems, for now, our extended spring may be over.

Dan Reilly, the head federal forecaster for Houston, said the weather can shift from a cool pattern, to more of a summer pattern, fairly quickly.

“The Climate Prediction Center is forecasting above-normal temperatures for the summer,” he said.

So much for a cooler summer season, but what caused the unusual cool spell earlier this month?

“So believe it or not, there is a theory that Global Warming, or so called Climate Change, can lead to more frequent cool episodes,” Reilly said.

In what may be the ultimate climate reversal, it was the warmer-than-normal weather in Greenland that led to the cold spell in early May for the Houston area.

Over the frozen reaches of the arctic, unusually warm weather actually deflects cold air to the south.

But as summer sets in for good, we turn our attention to the tropics. Hurricane season starts in just three weeks and some wonder if the whacky weather patterns may have an influence.

“The forecast is for an above-average season over all in the Atlantic. Whether Texas will get a landfall, we really can’t predict, but we do need to be prepared this year, given that it is an active season predicted,” Reilly said.

While it’s one thing to forecast how many hurricanes may form, it’s another entirely to forecast where they might go, but, based on the latest hurricane research, a pattern may set up favoring any systems born in the Atlantic, to track into the Gulf, instead of veering away.