HOUSTON - Thanksgiving is a time for gratitude, family and feasting. In the context of our weather, it'll be feast ... or famine. We're on the edge of two air masses: warm/humid and cold/dry. Which do you prefer? Your preference will determine if you get your fill, or are left hungry! The forecast is still a bit uncertain, but we're probably trending toward cooler-than-normal by a factor of 5°-8°F. This will translate into highs between 62°-65° with a dry northerly breeze.
Side note: 'Feast or famine' is a term first coined in 1732, appearing in author Thomas Fuller’s, "Gnomologia". (It is a book of, "proverbs, adages and witty sayings", widely considered one of the knowledge-bases of modern civilization.)
I ran a poll on Facebook and found that most want it cold!
The ultimate deciding factor in our forecast a week from today is the jet stream. This river of air blowing over 100 mph at times, at an altitude between 25,000 and 40,000 feet, is a natural dividing line between the cold, polar air to the north and warm, tropical air to the south. If Houston finds itself north of that jet stream's path, we'll be cold. If we remain south of it, we'll stay warm. The uncertainty in the forecast isn't greater than normal for seven days from now because it could go either way. We're right on the edge of its track, and miles matter. One reliable global model persists that Houston will lay squarely north of the jet stream, allowing for a colder holiday. The other forecasts that we'll lay just south of it. Just like in tropical forecasting, stay with us at KHOU 11, as we get closer to the holiday.
Judging from the poll results and the most likely weather pattern, I think it's safe to say we're leaning toward what many would consider, 'feast'!
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