HOUSTON - The weather finally got it right for once: it's hot as a witches brew and dry as a bone outside. What do you say to that? Boo!
The weather is crazy right now and we're becoming in dire need of some rain. Thankfully, I think we're going to get some along with some cooler weather too.
The month of October usually offers us relief from the oppressive summer-time heat. It's the month when we can open the windows and shut off the A/C that's been on since...well, probably last October. This October has been oppressive in and of itself.
Not only has it been hot but it's been incredibly dry. So far this month, Bush has only recorded measurable rain on three days, and all three days account for a paltry .14 inches of rain. Heading into Halloween, we are down 5.23 inches for the city and almost 8 inches if you include September.
It's no wonder the drought monitor now shows most of southeast Texas in the abnormally dry category with some pockets approaching moderate drought levels.
I do have good news however and no, I'm not going to save you any money --- unless it really is on your A/C bill: rain is on the way and so is cooler temperatures.
The above tweet is how I currently feel about the prospect of getting some legit cold air in here. I'm really put out about it. Borderline aggravated.
More on the cool air in a second.
I would dread being a mummy right about now --- not that I've ever fantasized about being one to begin with but can you imagine being wrapped up in multiple layers of linen cloth in this heat? One word: deodorant.
We'll be waking up to patchy dense fog on your Halloween morning with temperatures starting in the low 60s. Under partly cloudy skies and a southeasterly flow, our temperatures are going to skyrocket to near record territory. The forecast high Monday is 87 degrees. The record is 88 set back in 2010. That record is certainly in jeopardy.
Unlike the Halloween of last year where we got over five inches of rain, this one will be dry and warm with a 100% chance of cavities.
The skies may finally open up heading into next week ahead of a cold front that will push through the Houston area on Thursday evening bringing with it cooler daytime high temperatures.
An area of high pressure over the southeast will allow moisture to surge into southeast Texas by Tuesday. That moisture will begin to interact with disturbances coming in out of Mexico. While the rain chances aren't stellar, it'll be the best chance of rain we've seen in a few weeks at about 40%.
Any storms that form will be slow moving next week and mainly to the west of I-45. While we can't rule out a heavy downpour in the city of Houston, most areas are likely only to receive generally less than a half inch of rain per the GFS model through Friday of next week. The model is provided by TropicalTidbits.com:
Finally, we're all looking for the cool weather. A picture of me is posted towards the top of the story looking out a window. The GFS and Euro models seem to be finally hinting at the possibility of a pattern flip as we head into the middle part of November that would allow much cooler/colder weather to begin diving deep into the country.
Euro ensemble data still suggesting a pattern flip by mid-November. Can’t get here soon enough. pic.twitter.com/0Pg04FodRn— James Spann (@spann) October 31, 2016
Starting as soon as this weekend we'll see a cool front move through that will knock our highs back down into the upper 70s. However given that it'll be the first week of November, that front is really a wimp.
If it all comes together, we'll be in for much more pleasant weather with cool afternoons and chilly nights. I guess we can all hope, huh?
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