Gulf low becoming better organized; watching closely

HOUSTON - The low I've been tracking in the Gulf since last Friday is getting better organized this afternoon. Thunderstorms are developing over its center and satellite imagery reveals hints of a low level, cyclonic flow developing. At the storm cloud tops way up in the upper atmosphere, high pressure aloft is helping to, "evacuate" moisture away from the center of circulation, leading to greater lift, more thunderstorms and a stronger system. The system is trying to crank up its heat engine, much like you'd turn on your lawn mower. While it has not, "turned over" yet, it certainly could.
 
I wouldn't be shocked if this thing became a tropical depression or tropical storm before it tracks ashore somewhere between Corpus Christi and South Padre Island. While that track will result in a miss for our area, we will still see periods of heavy, tropical downpours this weekend. It won't be a washout, but where it rains, it'll pour. Other times, you'll see the sun come out.
 

The National Hurricane Center has bumped the chances of this forming from 10% to 20%... That's obviously very low, but in NHC language, that's a chance worth monitoring very closely. Stay with us as we make it through the rest of this hurricane season. Before sure to like/follow me on Facebook and Twitter for the latest.

-Brooks
 
 

(© 2016 KHOU)


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