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Weather Blog: Tuesday's 4 p.m. Emily update

by Gene Norman / KHOU 11 News

khou.com

Posted on August 2, 2011 at 4:28 PM

Updated Tuesday, Oct 29 at 9:39 PM

Here is the latest on Emily as of 4 pm Tuesday:

As the hurricane hunter planes flew through this developing system today, the data shows Emily getting a little bit stronger.  However, Emily was not more organized than it had been earlier today.  As it moves over water toward Hispaniola it could get a bit stronger.  Tropical storm warnings are in effect for Puerto Rico, Haiti and the Dominican Republic and a tropical storm watch is in effect for the southwest Bahamas and Turks and Caicos Islands.

The new track for Emily doesn't indicate that Emily will strengthen to a hurricane as earlier forecasts showed:

The key will be Thursday, when Emily is expected to cross Hispaniola and weaken to a tropical depression.  If it holds together after crossing the mountainous terrain there, it may re-form as a tropical storm as it moves over very warm water near the Bahamas.  However, a dip in jet stream winds is also expected to develop in the southeast U.S., which would tend to nudge Emily just east of Florida.  Right now, Emily's impact on the Sunshine State would be minimal and unless there is a drastic change in the forecast, Emily isn't likely to make it to the Gulf.

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