Here is the latest on Tropical Storm Emily as of 10 pm:
As you can see from the satellite picture above, the storm looks a lot more organized, but the maximum wind speed remains unchanged from earlier today. Some of the outer bands are brushing Puerto Rico tonight where a tropical storm warning remains in effect. The center was located 125 miles south of Ponce, Puerto Rico. Emily may strengthen further overnight as it approaches Hispaniola tomorrow. What happens after that is key because the mountainous terrain there could disrupt the storm briefly. However, it is still forecast to remain as it gets into the warm Atlantic ocean waters south of the Bahamas:
Tonight's forecast shows the system becoming a hurricane off the North Carolina coast sometime Sunday. While a ridge of high pressure in the Atlantic steers the storm westward, a trough along the East Coast late in the week will tend to push it northward. How much the storm impacts Florida depends on which of these two steering influences are strongest. However, it still looks very unlikely that the storm will head toward the Gulf after crossing Hispaniola Thursday.