Early Saturday morning Tropical Depression Bonnie continued to weaken under a moderate to strong shear. The tropical storm warnings for the central gulf coast states have been dropped. The satellite pictures say it all with a weak burst of activity well north of the center of circulation. This indicates the depression is weak, disorganized and will likely have a difficult time regaining tropical storm strength before landfall near Louisiana around midnight tonight or early Sunday morning. Some flooding due to rainfall estimates of 1 - 3 inches are the major consequences along Bonnie's path inland Sunday afternoon.
Since the Houston-Galveston area will be on the clean side of the storm track we can expect a few showers Sunday and Monday. Flooding locally should not be an issue however, with slightly higher surf conditions Saturday and Sunday as Bonnie nears the upper gulf coast region. The low that has been shearing Bonnie will pull tropical moisture into the region early next week so another wet weather pattern will continue until at least midweek.
For surfers this weekend, yes the surf is up and a a few more white caps than usual but nothing to write home about. The waves with tropical storm Alex where more impressive and it came in hundreds of miles away in Mexico. The marine forecast calls for 2 to 3 foot seas with winds out of the East to Northeast at 5 to 10kts, not a big wave maker. Stay tuned for continued updates on Bonnie throughout the day here on Channel 11.