Just a week after the Pacific hurricane season began, the first hurricane is on the verge of forming there today. Bud is a growing Category 1 storm which is bearing down on the Mexican Riviera. The forecast track shows that the storm will maintain a slow push toward the coast before being deflected back toward the Pacific. It has very little chance of moving inland and coming anywhere close to Texas.
Meanwhile, another swirl caught my attention in the western Caribbean. For a over week, long-range computer models have hinted that something would develop there. While this broad area of low-pressure isn't expected to become a named storm, it could be quite a rain-maker. Here's how it looks tonight:
As it drifts over Cuba, long-range computer models project that the low pressure system will move toward South Florida:
This is bad news for the sunshine state which is recovering from flooding rains of 6"-9" inches earlier this week. Here's a picture from a Miami colleague: