Nearly stationary rain led to some copious amounts of rain near Eagle Lake, El Campo and Wallis today as showers developed from 4 to 7 pm west of Houston. Several factors are coming together to allow for more rainfall as we head toward the weekend. That's probably not the news you wanted to hear, but it turns out we are in need of rain. Our surpluses are slipping and there are slight signs of drought. Here are the drought conditions from a month ago across Southeast Texas:
Compare that to the current drought status; just released today:
Basically, there is more "brown" for many of the counties west of Houston. Not a time to panic, but it's only rained a hand full of times this month, which ends Sunday. Gulf moisture will lead to rain chances Friday, but the remnant moisture from the former Pacific hurricane Miriam and a cool front diving across Texas spell steady rain Saturday into early Sunday. Here's an estimate of the totals we could see:
Most of Texas will benefit from the rain. Here in Southeast Texas, anywhere from 1"-2" is possible, but heavier amounts may mainly fall offshore. The timing of the rain-producing factors is still a bit uncertain, so stay tuned as we refine this forecast.