Late Wednesday night, Arlene was drifting about 125 miles east of Tampico. It may still briefly strengthen and become a weak hurricane before making landfall sometime midday on Thursday. In fact, a hurricane warning is in effect from Barra de Nautla to La Cruz. Throughout the day, this system as been meandering; at times, threatening to grow and also slowing down. That's not good news for places like Tampico, which could receive upwards of 8 inches from this storm. Inland mountains in Mexico are bracing for the threat of mudslides triggered by expected torrential rain.
Here are the 10 p.m. coordinates:
And the official forecast from the National Hurricane Center:
The extreme outer bands of Arlene will spread rain across extreme south Texas in places like Brownsville, Harlingen and South Padre Island. We won't see any of Arlene's rains here in Houston. Our best chance for liquid sunshine will come from impulses drifting in from the east which bubble up into brief showers in the heat of the day. The problem is that whatever rain does fall will be brief and spotty. Most won't see any rain; instead, we'll swelter through more triple digit heat and heat indicies.