A monster rain storm is heading towards the state of Texas. Depending on the eventual track, Houston and most of southeast Texas will likely see a flood watch issued Tuesday. Current reliable models indicate a strong upper level low tracking across the southwest into Texas about mid-week. If the disturbance takes a more southerly route, a rich supply of gulf and Pacific moisture could lead to rainfall amounts of 2" - 4" in our viewing area. That is the current scenario by the GFS and European models.
The much slower European model keeps pumping out rain through at least Thursday, pushing rainfall accumulations well over 4". In addition to heavy rain, a substantial amount of shear will lead to supercells with a few tornadoes and gusty winds. The NWS Storm Prediction Center already has a slight risk of severe storms for the South Texas area. This will likely be expanded or redefined in the next 24hrs.
Please keep monitoring the weather on Channel 11 and on KHOU.com Monday for this developing weather threat. The following weather apps will keep you up to date when your away from your TV.
Doppler radar --> http://bit.ly/ACQMJ5
Watch the forecast --> http://bit.ly/8EDAdy
HOU Weather app --> http://bit.ly/T5qf1M